Fearless Freak Forecast - Jeanne Edition

[digitaldiscipline]

After being surprisingly accurate as far as predicting Ivan's Track, Your Weather Weirdo turns his attention towards new Hurricane Jeanne.

While less interesting in terms of wind speed and attendant carnage (the FFF calls for it to top out around the bottom end of category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, around 120mph before initial US landfall), Jeanne warrants some mindshare because it's going to bounce.

That's right, you heard it here first - Jeanne will, after annoying the living hell out of angel_renewed by visiting her cruise destinations before she does, nose the Atlantic coast of Florida near where Frances made her slow trudge across the state, but unlike Frances, Jeanne will not make complete landfall, instead track NNE before rebounding NW, and making landfall near the SC/NC border as a Cat 2 event, which, unfortunately for the Carolinas and Virginia, will mean more rain on top of the two storms' worth they've already seen.

Here at GMBA HQ, we're in for, as Shaky (our Agent in Denial) is prone to forecast, "Just a little wind and rain."

So, there's the FFF for Jeanne. Stay tuned for our next installment, since there's a fresh wave wafting westward across the Atlantic basin!

Comments

[marchenland.livejournal.com]

So, do you see what I see down in the bottom right-hand corner of this lovely satellite image?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-vis-loop.html

No, not Jeanne. Below that.

Here it is in Infrared:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-ir4-loop.html

Look! Red!

[etcet.livejournal.com]

That's our boy, Karl!

[marchenland.livejournal.com]

Yeah, that's what I was afraid of. Sheesh!

I need to go home and read the National Geographic.

(On the up note: this internet thing is MUCH better than tracking hurricanes on the charts they used to print on grocery bags when I was a kid. Ha ha! I used to do them in crayon.)

[etcet.livejournal.com]

aye. we get nearly as much info as the "professionals", just not quite as real-time.

I'm tempted to learn how to use Photoshop better just so i can make pretty graphics of the predicted track and Cone of Fear....

[singingwolf.livejournal.com]

Er...

So, she's pretty much going to scrape along the east coast then?

Hopefully, she'll follow Floyd's path, and be pulled NE (as opposed to NNE) and be well out in the Atlantic before hitting anywhere near the FL/GA border.

I don't want to deal with another storm right now. Frances was enough. Really.

[etcet.livejournal.com]

Aye, very Floyd-like. You'll see some winds (beginning westerly, then shifting to the north) and an inch or two of rain, but probably not much above 30 sustained, with an occasional 50-60mph gust.

[hellsop.livejournal.com]

Every read Ben Bova's The Weathermakers. I recommend it to you.

[etcet.livejournal.com]

Duly noted. . . and I've got a B&N coupon this week, even. . . hmmmm. . .

"Shadow, I want you think about snow. . . " - Mr. Wednesday

14 Feet of Water in the French Quarter

[david-deacon.livejournal.com]

I remember your comment from elsewhere about how there's always some moron with a microphone in New Orleans, as a hurricane bears down, who says, "There could be *fourteen feet of water* behind me in the French Quarter." Less than a day later, behold, on-site weatherman from CNN, microphone in hand, saying that exact thing. . . .