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I feel bad for saying this, but I think Rita's going to take the same path as Katrina, shifted about a hundred miles south. The high pressure ridge over the eastern US that will keep it south will slowly move east, and Rita will track up the back side of it, coming ashore somewhere near the LA/TX border as a Cat 2/3 storm (~125mph).

Every time I try to draw it on a map, it wants to hook north and belt New Orleans. :-/
Date/Time: 2005-09-19 19:02 (UTC)Posted by: [identity profile] hellsop.livejournal.com
Twilight's not gonna like this...
Date/Time: 2005-09-19 19:20 (UTC)Posted by: [identity profile] etcet.livejournal.com
Neither is moses, or most of the nola folks in houston (or en route back)
Date/Time: 2005-09-19 19:24 (UTC)Posted by: [identity profile] fenixinthedark.livejournal.com
Considering Katrina was cat 2-3 when it tracked across Florida and then built up steam to being a cat 5 when it made landfall in NOLA, is it possible for this one to do the same? (shudders!)

I sure as shit hope local and federal authorities pay some attention this go around.
Date/Time: 2005-09-19 19:34 (UTC)Posted by: [identity profile] etcet.livejournal.com
that's fairly common - the longer a storm is over warm water, the greater the potential for strengthening. however, this storm's moving relatively swiftly (compare with ophelia, which moped its way up the coast very very slowly)

frankly, katrina could have been much much worse - it was at 175+ twelve hours before landfall, and lost 40mph of windspeed and veered to the east just beforehand - it could have flattened new orleans, -then- flooded it.

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