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I think the models are pretty good on this one, even though it's still nice and early. I expect something between the GFS and GFDL (blue and pink) tracks, with a bit more eastern hook at the end, bringing Fay mostly up the west coast just offshore as a strongish Cat 1 before heading inland over Perry/Gainesville/Jax. If it crosses the penninsula quickly enough, it might reform back over the Atlantic, but just keep heading out to sea.

Yep, it's time to HUNKER DOWN!

ETA: I seem to have linked to a changing image. Shit. My track prediction (as of 11am EDT 16aug08) remains what it was earlier, bearing up the west coast and being a lot of rain and moderate to high wind and strong surf before making landfall north of Tampa, up towards the big bend portion of the state.
Date/Time: 2008-08-16 16:05 (UTC)Posted by: [identity profile] timswar.livejournal.com
Don't forget to raid the grocery stores for water, milk, and bread!

(Well, that's what they do in Central NC, in Eastern NC they prefer the "Hurricane? That calls for beer!" method)
Date/Time: 2008-08-16 17:58 (UTC)Posted by: [identity profile] etcet.livejournal.com
yeah, we're of the "hunker down with booze and beef jerky" mindset here, too.

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